A recent poll by Quinnipiac University shows Obama leading McCain by only two percentage points, 46% to 44% among likely voters in Minnesota. Other polls say Obama leads by at least five points. Last month the same poll showed Obama with a 17 point lead. In the Senate race, Quinnipiac had Coleman ahead of Franken by 53% to 38%.
The results seem to be somewhat off given the dramatic change from the previous month, yet it suggests things are tightening rather than going the opposite direction. Even with all the favorable press coverage Obama is receiving on his international tour, more weaknesses are showing up in Obama. Once one gets away from the grandiose, visionary talk and onto the actual issues problems increase for Obama. His treatment of the surge (It's working but he still wouldn't support it if he knew it would be successful.) is just one example. There will be more. I've mentioned his contradictory actions and words on homosexual marriage. And his radical position on abortion, notwithstanding a failed attempt to moderate the perception of his position, will only get more attention as time progresses.
I think the uncertainty over the economy actually helps McCain. He's not flashy, but what people want is a steady hand in a time of instability. Obama youth and inexperience will work against him as time progresses.