I looked more closely at the recent Survey/USA poll which shows Dayton's lead over Emmer down to 38% to 36% with Horner now at 18%.
What's interesting is young people 18 to 34 years of age are going for Emmer by a margin of 46% to 30% for Dayton and 9% for Horner.
Maybe young people are becoming more conservative. Or they realize they're the ones left holding the bag to pay for all the social, retirement programs which will likely not be around when they get older. Whatever it's very interesting.
A closer look also reveals Horner is pulling equally from Dayton and Emmer at this stage of the game. I suspect that will change as Horner's liberal policies on taxes, abortion and marriage are revealed to the public.
Showing posts with label Survey/USA poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Survey/USA poll. Show all posts
Friday, September 17, 2010
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Nip and duck in the governor's race. Marriage as a game changer issue.
A new Survey/USA poll shows Mark Dayton ahead of Tom Emmer by only two points. Dayton is up only 38% to 36% for Emmer. Horner is at 18%. It looks to me like much of the change is from Dayton to Horner. The irony is that Horner, a former Republican, could well be pulling more support from Dayton than Emmer.
When I saw that Arne Carlson had endorsed Horner (Certainly not surprising.) I thought that only gives Horner more public credibility but doesn't pull votes from Emmer. Any moderate, liberal Republican support left Emmer a long time ago. So Carlson's endorsement may well help Emmer in the long run.
As for Horner, he won't gain more conservative support because he's pro-abortion, pro-homosexual "marriage" and he's a big government candidate, calling for significant tax increases.
This is where the marriage issue could be the game changer. Just as the poll we released on Monday points out, people upset about both Dayton and Horner wanting to impose homosexual marriage on the state without a say could well vote for Emmer the only candidate who supports letting the people vote. A few points here and there could well be the difference in what's shaping up to be a tight race for governor.
When I saw that Arne Carlson had endorsed Horner (Certainly not surprising.) I thought that only gives Horner more public credibility but doesn't pull votes from Emmer. Any moderate, liberal Republican support left Emmer a long time ago. So Carlson's endorsement may well help Emmer in the long run.
As for Horner, he won't gain more conservative support because he's pro-abortion, pro-homosexual "marriage" and he's a big government candidate, calling for significant tax increases.
This is where the marriage issue could be the game changer. Just as the poll we released on Monday points out, people upset about both Dayton and Horner wanting to impose homosexual marriage on the state without a say could well vote for Emmer the only candidate who supports letting the people vote. A few points here and there could well be the difference in what's shaping up to be a tight race for governor.
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