The debate on immigration reform is heating up after passage of a bill in the Senate. Jeb Bush in a WSJ column, coauthored with Clint Bolick, points out that the current system is unacceptable. Bush has an important perspective given his experience with the Hispanic community in Florida, and he's billed as one of the frontrunner's for the Republican nomination for president in 2016.
No Republican would vote for legislation that stifled economic
growth, promoted illegal immigration, added to the welfare rolls, and
failed to ensure a secure border. Yet they essentially will do just that
if they fail to pass comprehensive immigration reform—and leave in
place a system that does all of those things.
To grow economically, the nation needs more young workers, as the
population is aging and its growth is slowing. Yet only 13% of the
immigration visas each year are issued for work or special skills.
Nearly two-thirds go to relatives of existing residents, under an
expansive definition of family preferences that includes not just
spouses and minor children but parents, siblings and unmarried adult
children.
Family preferences crowd out the
work-based immigration this country needs. In particular, America's
educational system produces only a fraction of the high-skilled workers
required for technology jobs.
U.S. universities still attract the world's best and brightest, but
few foreign students are allowed to remain after graduating. Many return
home or go on to other countries with more sensible immigration
policies. Canada has one-tenth of our population—yet it issues far more
high-skilled visas (more than 150,000) yearly than we do (65,000).
Illegal immigration results now
because there are too few lawful low-skill job opportunities for
immigrants. But in both high- and low-skilled industries, the actual
alternative to importing workers is not hiring more Americans but
exporting jobs.
Today, working-age immigrants contribute to the economy and more to
social services than they consume. America needs more of them. Doubling
GDP growth to 4% from the anemic 2% that has become the new normal would
create more than $4 trillion in additional economic activity in the
10th year—more than the entire current GDP of Germany. It would also add
$1 trillion in recurring tax revenues.
They like many aspects of the Senate bill.
The Senate immigration reform addresses most of the flaws of the
current system. It reduces family preferences, increases the number of
high-skilled visas, expands guest-worker programs, and creates a
merit-based immigration system for people who want to pursue the
American dream. It also offers a path to citizenship for those who were
brought here illegally as children, and dramatically increases resources
and tools for border security.
The bill also invites people who came here illegally to come out of
the shadows through a provisional resident status. It does not provide
an amnesty, that is, a pardon. The Senate bill creates a 13-year
probation during which those who came illegally must pay a series of
fines and back taxes, undergo background checks, are ineligible for most
social services, and must work continuously.
Overall, the bill satisfies a criterion that is essential to the rule
of law: It makes it easier to immigrate legally than illegally.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects that the Senate
bill would reduce the budget deficit by more than $1 trillion over 20
years, boost the economy and increase productivity, without reducing the
wages of U.S. workers. In short, it advances Republican economic growth
objectives.
Here are some areas which the House can improve upon it in their estimation.
Still, the House can make several important improvements. These
include clearer and more objective border security "triggers" to assure
that the flow of illegal immigrants has been curbed, and a stronger
E-Verify system to ensure that only people who are here legally are
working. The House also can create more opportunities for work-based
immigration by limiting family preferences to spouses and minor
children, as most other countries do.
Importantly, the House can increase the artificially low guest-worker
numbers included at the behest of labor unions in the Senate bill. The
best antidote to illegal immigration in the future is a functioning
system that allows workers to come and go legally.
Moreover, the House should beef up civics education requirements for
new citizens. Currently, immigrants need answer only six of 10 civics
questions correctly to qualify. New citizens should be required not only
to learn English but to fully understand the nature and workings of our
democratic and free-enterprise systems.
The necessary overhaul of the immigration system cannot be achieved
piecemeal. The most important changes—reducing family preferences,
creating a robust guest-worker program, and increasing border
security—cannot be enacted with Republican votes alone. That means
compromise and a comprehensive approach—or the perpetuation of the
status quo that has all of the detriments of amnesty without any of the
economic benefits of reform.
And of course they emphasize the political dimensions for Republicans who by passing immigration reform will appeal to Hispanics.
Such reform is commended by both sound policy and principle. And it
will also earn goodwill among citizens of Hispanic and Asian descent. In
the 2012 presidential election, Republicans received only 27% of
Hispanic votes—down from 40% only 12 years earlier. Fifty thousand
Hispanics turn 18 and become eligible to vote every month. Republicans
did even worse among Asians—now the largest group of immigrants every
year—receiving only 26% of their votes.
Immigration is not the only issue on which Hispanics or Asians vote.
But it is a gateway issue. Republicans have much in common with
immigrants—beliefs in hard work, enterprise, family, education,
patriotism and faith. But for their voice to penetrate the gateway,
Republicans need to cease being the obstacle to immigration reform and
instead point the way toward the solution.
Resolving the immigration issue is a justice issue, economic growth issue, and a security issue all rolled into one. The current situation is unacceptable. We just can't make a bad situation worse under any new law. Where the Senate bill does that then the House can make the necessary changes and make sure those changes are incorporated into the final version.
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