Here's another TV ad on gay "marriage" and the governor's race. It points out once again that Mark Dayton and Tom Horner want to impose gay "marriage" on Minnesotans without giving them a say. The polls say a strong majority want the right to vote.
Will marriage be a game changer in the fall election for governor? I certain hope so.
Showing posts with label Tom Horner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tom Horner. Show all posts
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Thursday, September 16, 2010
Nip and duck in the governor's race. Marriage as a game changer issue.
A new Survey/USA poll shows Mark Dayton ahead of Tom Emmer by only two points. Dayton is up only 38% to 36% for Emmer. Horner is at 18%. It looks to me like much of the change is from Dayton to Horner. The irony is that Horner, a former Republican, could well be pulling more support from Dayton than Emmer.
When I saw that Arne Carlson had endorsed Horner (Certainly not surprising.) I thought that only gives Horner more public credibility but doesn't pull votes from Emmer. Any moderate, liberal Republican support left Emmer a long time ago. So Carlson's endorsement may well help Emmer in the long run.
As for Horner, he won't gain more conservative support because he's pro-abortion, pro-homosexual "marriage" and he's a big government candidate, calling for significant tax increases.
This is where the marriage issue could be the game changer. Just as the poll we released on Monday points out, people upset about both Dayton and Horner wanting to impose homosexual marriage on the state without a say could well vote for Emmer the only candidate who supports letting the people vote. A few points here and there could well be the difference in what's shaping up to be a tight race for governor.
When I saw that Arne Carlson had endorsed Horner (Certainly not surprising.) I thought that only gives Horner more public credibility but doesn't pull votes from Emmer. Any moderate, liberal Republican support left Emmer a long time ago. So Carlson's endorsement may well help Emmer in the long run.
As for Horner, he won't gain more conservative support because he's pro-abortion, pro-homosexual "marriage" and he's a big government candidate, calling for significant tax increases.
This is where the marriage issue could be the game changer. Just as the poll we released on Monday points out, people upset about both Dayton and Horner wanting to impose homosexual marriage on the state without a say could well vote for Emmer the only candidate who supports letting the people vote. A few points here and there could well be the difference in what's shaping up to be a tight race for governor.
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Dayton and Emmer are tied in governor's race. Horner distant third.
An MPR poll out finds the governor's race between Dayton and Emmer is neck and neck. They're tied with 34% of the vote and Tom Horner is a distant third with 13%.
A previous Rasmussen Poll done nearly three weeks ago had Dayton up 45% to 36% over Emmer.
This poll suggests the election is anything but a done deal. A couple of observations. One is Republicans were probably right in thinking that Dayton was the best candidate for them to run against. Dayton's fringe position on taxes, to the left of Kelliher and Entenza, make him a big target especially when people are very nervous about the economy and their own jobs. They don't want to hear talk of taxes going up.
Second, Horner is really out of the running in terms of actually having a chance of being elected. The question is who will Horner be a spoiler for. This poll says at this point he's pulling more Democrats from Dayton than Republicans from Emmer. While it's hard to say what the end result will be, he's definitely positioned himself to the left in terms of taxes and social issues. He's calling for $2.2 million in new taxes and is pro-homosexual marriage and pro-abortion according to a past MPR story. That would suggest he'll continue to take more votes from Dayton.
If people view Emmer and Dayton as extreme opposites, which one will they vote for. Given our state of affairs, I don't think people want a massive increase in government and taxes. That should help Emmer. As for looking at Horner, I don't see him having a shot at winning. He's a creature of the political establishment and does not generate an image or communicate as an outsider. Horner is a policy wonk and that comes through when he communicates.
A previous Rasmussen Poll done nearly three weeks ago had Dayton up 45% to 36% over Emmer.
This poll suggests the election is anything but a done deal. A couple of observations. One is Republicans were probably right in thinking that Dayton was the best candidate for them to run against. Dayton's fringe position on taxes, to the left of Kelliher and Entenza, make him a big target especially when people are very nervous about the economy and their own jobs. They don't want to hear talk of taxes going up.
Second, Horner is really out of the running in terms of actually having a chance of being elected. The question is who will Horner be a spoiler for. This poll says at this point he's pulling more Democrats from Dayton than Republicans from Emmer. While it's hard to say what the end result will be, he's definitely positioned himself to the left in terms of taxes and social issues. He's calling for $2.2 million in new taxes and is pro-homosexual marriage and pro-abortion according to a past MPR story. That would suggest he'll continue to take more votes from Dayton.
If people view Emmer and Dayton as extreme opposites, which one will they vote for. Given our state of affairs, I don't think people want a massive increase in government and taxes. That should help Emmer. As for looking at Horner, I don't see him having a shot at winning. He's a creature of the political establishment and does not generate an image or communicate as an outsider. Horner is a policy wonk and that comes through when he communicates.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Horner's misleading, big government budget revisited.
Tom Horner is a big government candidate for governor. He just doesn't like the DFL's big government budget. Either way, it's big government and that's the fundamental problem.
With the state state facing a projected $5.8 billion deficit, Horner wants to actually increase spending, using the euphemism "new investments", by $360 million.
He wants to increase taxes $2.15 billion over the next two years, primarily through sales tax increases.
His budget cuts are only $1.35 billion which are misrepresented as $2.45 billion. The extra $1.1 billion are redesign savings which is another way of saying we'll get rid of the inefficiencies of government and save boat loads of money. He would set up 10 "redesign teams" to change the way government does business. Those sorts of efficiency savings never materialize.
And then there is the $1.8 billion in delayed payments to schools. That's merely kicking the can down the street. Not dealing with overspending.
In his favor, Horner doesn't want to raise taxes on businesses and those business owners who create jobs. That means the tax increases are targeted at the poor and middle class through sales tax increases.
Ultimately, as government grows bigger and bigger, the poor and middle classes ultimately get hit the hardest. Either through seeing their taxes increase or lack of jobs because the government crowds out the private sector.
Either the liberal approach to big government or the Horner approach to big government, there's an attitude of we know what's best for society and we'll use government to socially engineer towards that goal. That's why we need to keep spending a lot of money and keep taxes high.
With the state state facing a projected $5.8 billion deficit, Horner wants to actually increase spending, using the euphemism "new investments", by $360 million.
He wants to increase taxes $2.15 billion over the next two years, primarily through sales tax increases.
His budget cuts are only $1.35 billion which are misrepresented as $2.45 billion. The extra $1.1 billion are redesign savings which is another way of saying we'll get rid of the inefficiencies of government and save boat loads of money. He would set up 10 "redesign teams" to change the way government does business. Those sorts of efficiency savings never materialize.
And then there is the $1.8 billion in delayed payments to schools. That's merely kicking the can down the street. Not dealing with overspending.
In his favor, Horner doesn't want to raise taxes on businesses and those business owners who create jobs. That means the tax increases are targeted at the poor and middle class through sales tax increases.
Ultimately, as government grows bigger and bigger, the poor and middle classes ultimately get hit the hardest. Either through seeing their taxes increase or lack of jobs because the government crowds out the private sector.
Either the liberal approach to big government or the Horner approach to big government, there's an attitude of we know what's best for society and we'll use government to socially engineer towards that goal. That's why we need to keep spending a lot of money and keep taxes high.
Monday, August 23, 2010
Horner wants to raise everybody's taxes, delay payments and cut a little bit. Proposal makes him more fiscally liberal than Matt Entenza.
Independent candidate Tom Horner who's trying to fashion himself as the third way candidate released his plan for balancing a projected $6 billion budget deficit. It turns out he's more liberal fiscally than Matt Entenza.
He does it by cutting spending by $1.3 billion, $1.8 billion by delaying payments to schools and local governments and raising a lot of taxes which will hit everyone. He'd raise taxes by $2.2 billion.
He also wants to get the state into the gambling business in hopes of raising $125 million in new taxes. And he's hopes to reduce another $1.1 billion by the proverbial "streamlining government".
Horner has tried to fashion himself a conservative fiscally but his budget is anything but. Only about 20% of his budget balancing comes from cutting spending.
To give you a perspective of where he stands on the political spectrum. I talked with Matt Entenza, one of the more liberal DFL candidates, the weekend before the DFL primary. I asked him how he'd deal with our projected $6 billion deficit. He said a third, a third, and a third, e.g. spending cuts, delayed payments and tax increases. Matt Entenza in fact supported more budget cuts than Horner. One can't say Horner is much of a fiscal moderate much less a fiscal conservative.
He does it by cutting spending by $1.3 billion, $1.8 billion by delaying payments to schools and local governments and raising a lot of taxes which will hit everyone. He'd raise taxes by $2.2 billion.
He also wants to get the state into the gambling business in hopes of raising $125 million in new taxes. And he's hopes to reduce another $1.1 billion by the proverbial "streamlining government".
Horner has tried to fashion himself a conservative fiscally but his budget is anything but. Only about 20% of his budget balancing comes from cutting spending.
To give you a perspective of where he stands on the political spectrum. I talked with Matt Entenza, one of the more liberal DFL candidates, the weekend before the DFL primary. I asked him how he'd deal with our projected $6 billion deficit. He said a third, a third, and a third, e.g. spending cuts, delayed payments and tax increases. Matt Entenza in fact supported more budget cuts than Horner. One can't say Horner is much of a fiscal moderate much less a fiscal conservative.
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Race for Minnesota govenor is wide open.
Rasmussen did a poll of various candidate scenarios in the Minnesota governor's race. Emmer or Seifert versus Horner, the independent, versus Dayton, Anderson Kelliher, Rybak, etc.
All the races are within the margin of error. It should be an exciting race for governor.
All the races are within the margin of error. It should be an exciting race for governor.
The only thing it’s safe to say about this year’s governor’s race in Minnesota is that both parties will pick their candidates in primaries on August 10. Other than that, the race is a free-for-all.A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state shows the top Republican candidates, former Minnesota House Minority Leader Marty Seifert and State Representative Tom Emmer, running essentially even with the top three Democratic contenders in match-ups that also include Independence Party contender Tom Horner.
But at least 10 candidates are seeking the nomination of Minnesota’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party. Some of the lesser-known candidates don’t fare quite as well against the GOP hopefuls.
There’s uncertainty on the Republican side, too. Ex-Senator Norm Colman far outdistanced Seifert and Emmer in a survey of the governor’s race in January but has since announced that he is not running.
Complicating the picture even more is the fact that the number of undecided voters in these match-ups ranges from 16% to 27%.
The numbers suggest that voters for now are making their decisions more on the basis of party labels than the positions and personalities of the individual candidates.
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